Published method
Epoch AI: ai-compute-ownership
1.1.0
Version
May 12, 2026
Published
1
Board
epoch-ai-compute-ownership
Method ID
Where the facts come from
- Source
Epoch AI open datasets
- Source Count
Distinct nonblank HTTPS source links on selected cumulative records and their supporting quarterly component records. Zero is published honestly when Epoch supplies no granular link for a modeled cohort.
How the order is produced
- Direction
descending
- Tie Breaker
entity slug ascending
When the method reruns
Each board shows the date of the snapshot it is built from.
Boards
Boards using this version
| Board | Primary measure | Rows | Confidence | Snapshot | Board version | Refresh | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated AI compute ownership by company | epoch-ai-compute-ownership-h100e-median | 6 | 100% | May 12, 2026 | 1.1.0 | Not stated | Open the board: Estimated AI compute ownership by company |
Versioned contract
Complete measurement ledger
Power
Power is accelerator nameplate TDP summed and converted from watts to MW. It is not facility load or metered consumption.
Score
median estimated owned compute in H100 equivalents
Source
Epoch AI open datasets
License
CC BY 4.0
Ranking
- Direction
descending
- Tie Breaker
entity slug ascending
Universe
- Amazon
- CoreWeave
- Meta
- Microsoft
- Oracle
- xAI
Selection
For each of seven reviewed corporate owners, select the latest cumulative Epoch record for every represented chip type, then sum component medians and component p5/p95 values. An owner is omitted unless all selected components contain the complete p5/median/p95 bands.
Confidence
Epoch's component-level p5 and p95 estimates carry the quantitative uncertainty. Rank.ai maps Epoch's Incomplete flag to a publication confidence of 0.55, otherwise 0.75; that confidence is a completeness signal, not a probability.
Attribution
Source: Epoch AI (CC BY 4.0)
Limitations
- This measures estimated compute ownership, not utilization.
- It does not measure GPU-hours, training share, inference share, or workload allocation.
- H100e normalizes peak dense 8-bit compute and is not a physical GPU count.
- Summed component p5/p95 values are displayed as component-bound sums, not a recomputed joint distribution.
- Cloud-owned compute may be used by customers not represented as owners.
- Aggregate China, smuggled-China, and Other cohorts are excluded from the corporate-company board.
- A reviewed corporate owner with a missing component uncertainty band is omitted rather than imputed.
Source Count
Distinct nonblank HTTPS source links on selected cumulative records and their supporting quarterly component records. Zero is published honestly when Epoch supplies no granular link for a modeled cohort.
Missing Values
Missing, blank, excluded, or incomplete values are omitted and are never converted to zero.
Excluded Owners
- China
- China (smuggled)
- Other
Release Contract
- Schema Mode
exact ordered CSV headers
- Release Rollback
reject
- Release Date Required
Yes
- Raw Bytes Sha256 Required
Yes
- Same Release Hash Mutation
reject
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